The Leg Up – Sunday 22 November 2020

Popular race-by-race meeting preview The Leg Up by Thoroheads provides in-depth summaries, tips and suggested bets.

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Race 1 – 12:52PM BRYON BAY BREWERY MAIDEN (1208 METRES)

Expecting a bold showing from NOBEL PRINCE on debut. Showed gate speed to sit outside leader in his Lark Hill 6/11 trial and like the way he worked to the line underneath Paul Harvey. Anticipating positive tactics from the mid-draw and Nobel Prince should fight this one out. Well-bred colt MORE SNITZEL ran some nice race around some decent types last prep and trialled well at Belmont 9/09. Has to be a factor. Haven’t minded what MISS SILVERSPRINGS has produced in her two lead-up trial outings, while fellow first-starter PERFECT GEM wears the famous Cerise And White and has to be respected.

Tips: 5-1-9-10
Suggested: 5. NOBEL PRINCE win.

5. NOBEL PRINCE
1. MORE SNITZEL
9. MISS SILVERSPRINGS
10. PERFECT GEM

Race 2 – 1:30PM TABTOUCH – BETTER YOUR BET MAIDEN (1108 METRES)

This looks the race for AT WAR. Has been a frustrating horse to follow over the journey, but has rebuilt trust in recent times with back-to-back Ascot placings. All the form around him reads well and with a reasonable run in transit from a high draw (perhaps even outside leader) At War will take some beating. PAEROA LAD was beaten a lip here on Melbourne Cup Day and maps to land in a prominent on-speed running position again. First-upper MISS ALIGNED ran some nice races last prep and impressed with a Bunbury 6/11 trial win, while no surprise to see GUNMETAL GREY firre on debut down on 52kg.

Tips: 2-4-12-9
Suggested: 2. PAEROA LAD win.

2. PAEROA LAD
4. MISS ALIGNED
12. GUNMETAL GREY
9. CAN’TCATCHTHIS
*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

Race 3 – 2:05PM KELAVID HOLDINGS MAIDEN (1690 METRES)

Wide-open mile maiden this and CHOOSE FREEDOM should be able to give it a shake. Was freshened prior to his latest effort when coming from near last for fourth behind a smart one in Nobel Laurence. Has another high draw but thinking Ryan Hill may be positive on this occasion and if he lands on-speed without torching too much fuel. Choose Freedom goes close. BABYTINO has put in two solid runs this prep and the formlines read quite well against this opposition. Another expected to work forward from a wide draw. Paul Harvey is a good booking on NIGHT SESSION, while the likes of TYPHOON BEN and SOLAMENTE will have admirers also.

Tips: 1-6-9-4
Suggested: 1. CHOOSE FREEDOM win.

1. CHOOSE FREEDOM
6. BABYTINO
9. NIGHT SESSION
4. TYPHOON BEN
12. SOLAMENTE

Race 4 – 2:40PM BUNBURY PLUMBING SERVICES MAIDEN (1410 METRES)

Not a bad maiden this one and confident STANDOUT ROSE will take some beating. Ran into significant traffic issues behind the well-regarded Nobel Laurence last start and while the winner goes good, this filly’s performance wasn’t that much inferior. Kept out of trouble and with a field-position advantage, Standout Rose can hold off the closers. Peters Investments filly TREASURED PRIZE was wide throughout on debut and boxed on into third. Maps rearwards from this alley but Pike should be bringing her with a typically well-timed finishing burst. Like the looks of ARRACITY as a horse and she can win without surprising, while ICARIAN and BALDERDASH are in the mix also.

Tips: 8-9-6-4
Suggested: 8. STANDOUT ROSE win.

8. STANDOUT ROSE
9. TREASURED PRIZE
6. ARRACITY
4. ICARIAN
1. BALDERDASH

Race 5 – 3:20PM CIVILCON CONSTRUCTION MAIDEN (1410 METRES)

Expecting FASHION QUEEN to start heavy odds-on and win. Looked the goods at trials and was really keen on her at an Ascot 3/11 debut, and she really was a good thing beat behind Town Hall, getting pocketed at a crucial stage and flashing when the race was all over. Kept out of trouble by “The Wizard” Pike, Fashion Queen may even put a gap in them. RED HOT DUBAI has worked home well at his last two Bunbury outings and should be able to settle closer from this low draw. IRISH REIGN met with support on debut but was a touch plain, respect the stable though and this mare can elevate second up, while the same can be said for ONE FOR THE ROAD who was a $7.50 chance at Ascot on debut.

Tips: 9-2-6-7
Suggested: 9. FASHION QUEEN win.

9. FASHION QUEEN
2. RED HOT DUBAI
6. IRISH REIGN
7. ONE FOR THE ROAD

Race 6 – 3:55PM MISTY VALLEY THOROUGHBREDS HANDICAP (1208 METRES)

BERET has always been well regarded and she looks hard to beat first up. Only had the one run in the winter, suggesting possible issues, but she looked ready to rip when winning a Lark Hill 2/11 under a hold. The 1208m may be a touch on the short side, but patiently handled by Laqdar Ramoly she should be able to sprint over the top of them fresh. Like the way ANGELIQUE’S FAME hit the line first up and she has to be a major player coming back in grade. Stablemate MISS IVY LEAGUE enjoyed a successful 2YO campaign and has been readied for this with two lead-up trials, while keep an eye on NZ import JULIETTE first up in WA.

Tips: 2-1-5-7
Suggested: 2. BERET win.

2. BERET
1. ANGELIQUE’S FAME
5. MISS IVY LEAGUE
7. JULIETTE

Race 7 – 4:25PM FURPHY – REFRESHING ALE HANDICAP (1208 METRES)

Going again with RUM RAKER. Liked his first up at Ascot and he ran into a traffic jam in the straight and again thought he was a winning chance at Mt Barker last start, and the fast-finishing third was full of merit. Gets a nice draw back on his home track and with clear galloping room Rum Raker will be hard to counter. Like the booking of Brad Rawiller on BARTRADER and this fellow has a strong track/distance profile. Maps to advantage from this alley also. AGENT JAY loves Bunbury and is coming off a last-start Class 5 victory. Has to be considered, while it’s getting towards D-Day for DOUBLE JEOPARDY.

Tips: 4-5-2-1
Suggested: 4. RUM RAKER win.

4. RUM RAKER
5. BARTRADER
2. AGENT JAY
1. DOUBLE JEOPARDY

Race 8 – 5:00PM GREENFIELDS LODGE CAPEL HANDICAP (1008 METRES)

Interesting short-course scamper and MISSING PRO looks a nice race for former VIC-based apprentice Carleen Hefel. Has good gate speed, so can either find the rail in front or land outside leader and her form when last in work certainly stacks up against this opposition. Missing Pro will make her presence felt. DIA DE LA RAZA has returned from a break in pretty good nick and this looks a good option for him. Gives himself every chance on top of the speed. DUTCH SPY is easily the class runner, but is the 1000m a touch too short for him? MY LAINA should be getting back and running home into the top four first up.

Tips: 2-6-1-7
Suggested: 2. MISSING PRO win.

2. MISSING PRO
6. DIA DE LA RAZA
1. DUTCH SPY
7. MY LAINA

Race 9 – 5:35PM JCW ELECTRICAL HANDICAP (2019 METRES)

Quite a decent line up assembled for this special conditions handicap, but if Holly Lock has HEAVEN’S GIFT right she should have the class to pull through. as an eye-catcher first up at Ascot and her latest effort was probably better than first thought, considering tempo and race shape. 1600m to 2018m third up isn’t ideal, but Heaven’s Gift has the class to overcome. Warhorse JUICING CARROTS has hit a nice patch of form and this looks a terrific option for him after a brave York Cup result. BELLA’S IDOL is well placed also and Ramoly’s 3kg claim may come in handy, while the 3YO FLETCHER ROAD is an interesting runner, and ADMIRAL PROMO can measure up to this level.

Tips: 3-2-1-8
Suggested: 3. HEAVEN’S GIFT win.

3. HEAVEN’S GIFT
2. JUICING CARROTS
1. BELLA’S IDOL
8. FLETCHER ROAD
6. ADMIRAL PROMO

Race 10 – 6:10PM AMELIA PARK HANDICAP (1410 METRES)

Have a bit of time for WORTH A RISK and happy to side with her in the lucky last. Won really well first up at Northam 4/10 and the form through Said No One Ever stacks up, so while the 49 days between runs suggests a setback, backing in the Pearce Bros to have her ready to go. Worth A Risk gets the right map from this low draw and should take some beating. THE SINGING TIGER was strong last start and expecting him to be just about ready to peak third up. DEVIL’S DUST looks well placed back in grade on his home track, JUST UNDER can run a race fresh from this low draw, while no surprise to see GALLANT RANGER rebound after a last-start disappointment.

Tips: 9-4-3-8
Suggested: 9. WORTH A RISK win.

9. WORTH A RISK
4. THE SINGING TIGER
3. DEVIL’S DUST
8. JUST UNDER
7. GALLANT RANGER

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 7:00am on Friday 20 November 2020


The Leg Up is provided by Thoroheads — Digital content producers servicing the Western Australian Thoroughbred Horse Racing Industry.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the view of the Bunbury Turf Club.