The Leg Up – Thursday 28 November 2019

Popular race-by-race meeting preview The Leg Up by Thoroheads provides in-depth summaries, tips and suggested bets.

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Race 1 – 1:49PM PERKINS MAIDEN (1675 METRES)

Siding with TOLLMAN. Has been beaten less than a half-length at each of his three outings so far, and was a touch unlucky last start when flushed out particularly wide on straightening and only going down a long neck. Ready for the mile now and gets his chance. ROMAN FLIRT was brave in defeat last start when three wide/no cover the entire at Ascot. May find herself in front and could take some catching. Liked the latest Ascot effort from ADMIRED who worked hard in the three-wide line and stuck on well late, while the latest trial from first-starter DAWN ENIGMA was eye-catching.

Tips: 2-3-4-5
Suggested: 2. TOLLMAN win.

2. TOLLMAN
3. ROMAN FLIRT
4. ADMIRED
5. DAWN ENIGMA

Race 2 – 2:29PM LJ HOOKER BUNBURY COLLIE MAIDEN (1400 METRES)

Keen on SATURDAY SUN. Showed promise as a juvenile and was heavily supported ($11 to $6) first up, breezing outside leader in transit and fighting on well four fourth against some smart opposition. Felt that performance was full of merit and with natural improvement, and a positive running position, Saturday Sun looks the one. TRADENSIA did some additional work in running on debut before being gunned down by Significant Hero late. That was encouraging, has to rate highly from this low draw. IGARASHI was solid at Ascot last time, while no surprise to see ROYAL CHOISIR run a race fresh.

Tips: 2-5-7-1
Suggested: 2. SATURDAY SUN win.

2. SATURDAY SUN
5. TRADENSIA
7. ROYAL CHOISIR
1. FAIRER AMERICA

*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

Race 3 – 3:05PM SOUTH WEST CLEANING MAIDEN (1400 METRES)

Looks the race for PAMBELLA. Hasn’t been too far away in three runs as a 3YO, punching the breeze three wide at Ascot last time and sticking on gamely to finish third. Looks really well placed by the in-form Parnham camp, with the rise in distance and low draw both positives. Should salute. CENSURE was coming off a 38-day break when rolled on the line by a smart one in a decent Albany maiden. Maps to advantage, goes close. BRIARIC was very stiff to be bobbed-out in a photo this track/distance last time. Should roll forward and fight out the finish, while NEW MYSTIQUE wasn’t too bad on debut.

Tips: 9-10-3-11
Suggested: 9. PAMBELLA win.

9. PAMBELLA
10. CENSURE
3. BRIARIC
11. NEW MYSTIQUE

Race 4 – 3:45PM CIVILCON MAIDEN (1200 METRES)

A few chances in this and ended up locking in GOODBYEFEDS. Liked his efforts last prep and was rock-solid in a fast race first up, with the London Miss formline reading well. Fitter and better suited this trip, he just needs even luck from the draw to give this a shake. Was keen on WAR IN PARADISE first up, but ended up getting bogged down on the slower part of the track. Blinkers are on and they may do the trick. Well-related first-starter NOTORIOUS ONE is coming off a strong trial win and will have a heap of fans, KITGUM rates highly, and ALLEZ ALLEZ hasn’t been knocked around at trials.

Tips: 6-7-1-11
Suggested: 6. GOODBYEFEDS win.

6. GOODBYEFEDS
7. WAR IN PARADISE
1. KITGUM
11. ALLEZ ALLEZ

*Numbers amended after Final Scratchings

Race 5 – 4:15PM ASP SECURITY HANDICAP (1675 METRES)

Not a bad context this and confident MONTAGNA can come out on top. Has obvious issues being a lightly-raced 7YO, but his fresh 1400m effort was big and he followed up with a luckless run in better company last time, when never really getting clear in the straight. Ready to rip out a peak performance. MASTER PEARL also ran into traffic issues in the same race and it may pay to forget he went around. Expected to bounce back. KIA ORA STAR has had genuine excuses at his last four starts and deserves a change of luck, while BURNING PRIDE and MACKENZIE BROOKE can both win at their best.

Tips: 3-1-6-5
Suggested: 3. MONTAGNA win.

3. MONTAGNA
2. MASTER PEARL
1. KIA ORA STAR
6. BURNING PRIDE
5. MACKENZIE BROOKE

Race 6 – 4:45PM JCW ELECTRICAL HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Could be the day for HE’S A GUNSLINGER. Heavily commissioned ($10 to $5.50) third up and with clear running in the straight probably should’ve won, going to the line under a hold. McNaught hops back on board and from this draw really should get every opportunity to score. Don’t mind GLOBAL RULER as a horse and he was strong late over an unsuitable trip first up. Can hold leder’s back from gate one and impact. Likely leader OVERTHRONE has ability but is 39 days between runs, GEOGRAPHE BAY is rarely far away, and former spruik horse ALTANI is a runner of interest first up for a new stable.

Tips: 4-2-6-1
Suggested: 4. HE’S A GUNSLINGER win.

4. HE’S A GUNSLINGER
2. GLOBAL RULER
6. OVERTHRONE
1. GEOGRAPHE BAY
8. ALTANI

Race 7 – 5:15PM TABTOUCH BETTER YOUR BET HANDICAP (2200 METRES)

Interesting distance handicap to finish the program and MORNING SONG will no doubt have a heap of admirers with William Pike wearing the famous Cerise And White. Was ridden upside-down over 1800m second up and stuck on well late and that run will bring her forward nicely for this 2200m assignment. Suited down on 55kg and should get is nice-and-soft from the low draw. Tough on-pacer TWENTYTHREE RED has to rate highly after his brave York Cup effort. NOT AGAIN KEN looks just about ready to win again, as does STAFFORD’S LAD, while 2018 Pinjarra Cup winner PLAYS THE GAME was big last start.

Tips: 9-2-3-4
Suggested: 9. MORNING SONG win.

9. MORNING SONG
2. TWENTYTHREE RED
3. NOT AGAIN KEN
4. STAFFORD’S LAD
1. PLAYS THE GAME

**This edition of #TheLegUp by @thoroheadsWA originally published at 9:00am on Wednesday 27 November 2019


The Leg Up is provided by Thoroheads — Digital content producers servicing the Western Australian Thoroughbred Horse Racing Industry.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not reflect the view of the Bunbury Turf Club.